Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_Textbooks Marly's Ghost

Marly's Ghost

democratic force

Isaac recounts Uber’s pitched battles with taxi unions and drivers

" (Sonya Lyubomirsky

Buku ini sesuai dibaca oleh segenap lapisan masyarakat yang mengimpikan lahirnya lelaki dengan acuan Al-Quran

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_Textbooks Marly's GhostEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real